2012年2月28日星期二

Ta kung pao: the United States policy trapped dilemma for global risk is pushed high

The American Treasury bonds, has come to a negative high to accept degree, the United States must put forward early "credible" long-term cut red debt reduction plan. The development of the next few months is key: the United States will face financial and monetary policy decisions at the same time appear fronts, the key is whether the United States initiative adjusted its financial hegemony and unilateralism thinking and behavior. The global market and economy in the face of uncertain sex and increased risk.
The article excerpting is as follows:
The United States has the s&p sovereign credit rating outlook from stable to negative reduction, caused the market some fluctuations, especially the continuing decline of the dollar and gold stack innovation high. A reduction in real the accident, the national debt, has come to a negative high to accept degree, many comments (including the IMF's) all think that the United States must put forward early "credible" long-term cut red debt reduction plan. The greater concern is that the two major party has a political mess now, and difficult to achieve effective agreement, delay the necessary adjustment.
Mark PuDiao drop looking rating has outstanding warning role. The past standard popularity other rating agencies such as moody's, etc., are already many times remind America to improve financial as soon as possible. The warning is void, the s&p finally flash yellow card, and points out that the two years have three points a reduction in the sovereignty of the American opportunity credit rating. The response to the United States, think the s&p action of political judgment, underestimated the United States deal with financial challenge. In fact no one should underestimate the ability of the United States. After all, the American economy development level is high and rich resources, but the problem is not the political will, as the s&p said on how to debt reduction discuss without decisions. Politicians also take this issue out big political capital, and neglect of the interests of countries and people's great, it is irresponsible attitude for global anxiety. In the recent IMF members finance ministers' meeting in, many countries including some developed countries have financial problems criticized the United States. Because decrease red main is facing political obstacles, so to make a political judgment real reasonable but.
If the s&p rating can prompt the U.S. politicians head point, pragmatic point and speed up a attitude feasible debt reduction agreement, the play a huge role is positive. If so, are still to be observed, the key is whether the United States initiative adjusted its financial hegemony and unilateralism thinking and behavior. Because of the United States, had major international currency dollar as the responsible and ignore their bad international influence and great national debt and big water, causing the dollar depreciation pressure and global big rising inflation, hot money of extravagance and serious situation. Now the United States money red crazy high, this year will still be more than ten percent of GDP. Even by Obama government and republicans proposed order of cutting red scheme, has an estimated debts refers to a few years will reach $20 trillion, far more than the current debts cap and GDP (around $14 trillion each).
American money is the fed to drag down the red out of control, and by its responsible for the management of the monetary policy: this year to with quantitative loose phase ii (QE2), the main content is to buy national debt by money spinner, a violation of the economic law and completely fed independence.
However, the development of the next few months is key: the United States will mlb jerseys face financial and monetary policy at the same time appear choice boat. The financial aspects, such as congress can't show is expected to through the credible debt reduction plan, the market will endure difficult again. The more the worry is the market rather than the rating agencies, each of these institutions reaction lags behind the market, while the s&p, such as moody's more suspected the United States will favoritism. At present, the market has appeared impatient emotions, such as the biggest PIMCO has the beautiful debt securities and do a clearance and empty. The other aspects, such as fiscal tightening scheme to pass through, and it will not affect the economy and recovery. At the same time, the fed best sunglasses soon after for QE2 policy decision, but come on stage or not issued QE3 can bring trouble: not on economic recovery will be under pressure, if the dollar on inflation and difficult.
In this case, the global market and economy in the face of uncertain sex and increased risk of, how much more will the European debt crisis will also face tough choices, especially how to salvage the Portuguese is more severe challenges. In addition, the Middle East and north Africa unrest Japan the influence of the disaster, further emerge. In short, in multiple factors of change interweave, this summer's global economy will not calm.
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